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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2023-09-01T05:35Z

Model Inputs:
2023-09-01T03:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=55.0, Lat.=20.0, Speed=1475.0, HalfAngle=51.0, Time21.5=2023-09-01T05:56Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-09-03T08:41Z (+- 7 hours)
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 30.7 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.3
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
OSIRIS-REx with estimated shock arrival time 2023-09-03T15:11Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2023-09-02T10:25Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-09-03T04:49Z [PE: -5.6 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230901_055600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2023-09-01T05:40Z by Chris Stubenrauch

A Notification with ID 20230901-AL-007 was sent on 2023-09-01T05:45Z

Comments by users:

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